TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,806 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked BetBoom Team39c22,854$8,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,907.7155157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tundra Esports61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900.3319847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed BetBoom Team41c10,000$4,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,09942650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports60c9,637$5,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,829.8186949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked BetBoom Team1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick1cpaid+594.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports67c7,944$5,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.9851751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked BetBoom Team8c4,360$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.1413020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Tundra Esports60c4,000$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.0730336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed BetBoom Team1c3,798$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.466169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bff…7074backed BetBoom Team40c3,765$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed BetBoom Team39c3,012$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.644143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20060349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf8a9…3f60backed BetBoom Team16c2,512$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.092548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports76c2,059$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.7166662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports72c1,924$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.462,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed BetBoom Team4c1,800$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7565625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BetBoom Team35c1,682$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.5581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Tundra Esports61c1,648$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.5333951.3%174 W · 165 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed Tundra Esports65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.469158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports59c1,452$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.2369644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports58c1,338$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.532,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed BetBoom Team37c1,250$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.54440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Tundra Esports68c1,141$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.318746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team24c1,133$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.831,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Tundra Esports63c1,015$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.9336759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Tundra Esports66c984.5$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.7346649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed BetBoom Team26c924.56$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9538653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked BetBoom Team8c878.42$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.47440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Tundra Esports62c806.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3712661.1%77 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c01…8c6cbacked BetBoom Team18c654.34$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.234452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports62c599.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22839660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked BetBoom Team41c564.55$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4729548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked BetBoom Team41c475.89$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.026753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed BetBoom Team17c466.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6650832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed BetBoom Team36c460.65$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.831,24744.4%554 W · 693 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Tundra Esports62c458.29$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2588539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c9…fb50backed BetBoom Team45c445$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1fe…e21fbacked Tundra Esports61c439.34$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.348153.1%43 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Tundra Esports61c418.64$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2719251.6%99 W · 93 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed BetBoom Team39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15660552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Tundra Esports65c399.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9946451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports64c392.19$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.191,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1942…2c75backed BetBoom Team23c360.87$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports64c312.96$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3853444.4%237 W · 297 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Tundra Esports66c303.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7214251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports61c300$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1444149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Tundra Esports75c289.47$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0133041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed BetBoom Team35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Tundra Esports61c273.77$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7772154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked BetBoom Team40c266.7$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7216550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed BetBoom Team40c242.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0215452.6%81 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Tundra Esports64c239.43$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.832652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Tundra Esports66c227.01$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0136654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Tundra Esports60c208.35$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3418745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9080742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Tundra Esports62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7620043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7288166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked BetBoom Team15c198.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.182748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Tundra Esports59c197.3$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8960251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb15f…7deebacked Tundra Esports61c179.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.085552.7%29 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9c4…0425backed BetBoom Team36c178.08$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-54.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed BetBoom Team40c175.17$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7811549.6%57 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed BetBoom Team39c166.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1333549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf586…e81bbacked BetBoom Team37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60166.3%1 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.33per pick39cpaid-85.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Tundra Esports63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7326453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed BetBoom Team41c151.27$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5410550.5%53 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked BetBoom Team11c150.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.572240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Tundra Esports61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.547951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Tundra Esports62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Tundra Esports67c150$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7592561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Tundra Esports68c140$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.855147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe30e…4ca5backed BetBoom Team36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…2d03backed BetBoom Team38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76fc…48fabacked BetBoom Team40c128.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.113247.7%63 W · 69 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked BetBoom Team40c124.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012348%59 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed BetBoom Team9c117.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5672637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xab05…52e9backed BetBoom Team38c111.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3917448.9%85 W · 89 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1019…d7cabacked BetBoom Team41c111.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.216650%33 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team16c104.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2359250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed BetBoom Team40c104.6$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.258251.2%42 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked BetBoom Team17c102.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4524137.3%90 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c7…d64fbacked BetBoom Team16c101.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.117225%18 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked BetBoom Team10c100.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3231126%81 W · 230 L-17.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed BetBoom Team39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed BetBoom Team20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed BetBoom Team38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3811943.7%52 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccb…bbd7backed BetBoom Team24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245837.9%22 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd417…327abacked Tundra Esports61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3910641.5%44 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Tundra Esports61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3963032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x779a…1f08backed BetBoom Team10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb638…5213backed BetBoom Team12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123215.6%5 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-69.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c90…f87cbacked BetBoom Team33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.81747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Tundra Esports63c90.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3423653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8af1backed BetBoom Team25c85.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.28714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed BetBoom Team36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3086451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Tundra Esports71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.22657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked BetBoom Team13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.46224.2%15 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed BetBoom Team26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124026.7%64 W · 176 L-30.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4c0…23d8backed Tundra Esports64c78.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1823957.3%137 W · 102 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked Tundra Esports70c75.49$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6540539.3%159 W · 246 L-0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.