Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: JD Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34642592596dbaad3b8bc6bf33a8627850991718c08c6ba83586a1c8e25771a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- All Gamersof JD Gaming, All Gamers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed JD Gaming | 6c | 648.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed JD Gaming | 56c | 392.05$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.55 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed All Gamers | 47c | 346.53$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.05 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked All Gamers | 50c | 337.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.51 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked All Gamers | 56c | 324.2$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed JD Gaming | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 537 | 42.1%226 W · 311 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed JD Gaming | 35c | 223.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed JD Gaming | 18c | 158.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…7a9cbacked JD Gaming | 15c | 151.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked JD Gaming | 15c | 151.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc138…c75dbacked JD Gaming | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked JD Gaming | 47c | 139.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed JD Gaming | 20c | 116.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed JD Gaming | 15c | 111.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -29.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked JD Gaming | 50c | 106.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f43dbacked JD Gaming | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed All Gamers | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed JD Gaming | 55c | 89.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…3b33backed JD Gaming | 23c | 79.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked All Gamers | 73c | 78.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…94b8backed JD Gaming | 34c | 70.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed JD Gaming | 37c | 48.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…db37backed JD Gaming | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked JD Gaming | 28c | 38.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed JD Gaming | 50c | 33.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a14…49d5backed All Gamers | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked All Gamers | 61c | 29.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed All Gamers | 61c | 29.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed All Gamers | 69c | 28.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed All Gamers | 61c | 22.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group AlphaAll Gamers won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.