Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nova Gorica: Francesco Ferrari vs Vincent Dullinger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348cb491776f12f7f5e7a6c7e2fdc87033ee44b4f90097bf3f82ee1504a45b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesco Ferrariof Francesco Ferrari, Vincent Dullinger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Francesco Ferrari | 59c | 841.2$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.66 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Vincent Dullinger | 52c | 586.54$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Vincent Dullinger | 29c | 402.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Francesco Ferrari | 79c | 158.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francesco Ferrari | 57c | 134.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Vincent Dullinger | 40c | 110.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…2b4fbacked Vincent Dullinger | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Vincent Dullinger | 48c | 55.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Vincent Dullinger | 48c | 51.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Francesco Ferrari | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Francesco Ferrari | 52c | 49.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vincent Dullinger | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa594…fe78backed Francesco Ferrari | 61c | 21.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Vincent Dullinger | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Francesco Ferrari | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.