Tennis · resolved market
Lugano: Joel Schwaerzler vs Dominic Stephan Stricker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34a57d4fbe62ab0462b702f14f78ff223ee4889d925aec49c7980f060fc235c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joel Schwaerzlerof Joel Schwaerzler, Dominic Stephan Stricker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 8c | 2,485$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.97 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 74c | 1,831$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joel Schwaerzler | 44c | 1,545$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.18 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Joel Schwaerzler | 27c | 1,366$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.25 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 47c | 1,170$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.05 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 45c | 1,120$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.49 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 72c | 1,000$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…3641backed Joel Schwaerzler | 53c | 975.47$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.47 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 3c | 783.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 65c | 527.89$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.89 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 75c | 499.59$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.01 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Joel Schwaerzler | 30c | 412.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.66 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.57 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Joel Schwaerzler | 32c | 314.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.94 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Joel Schwaerzler | 32c | 251.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Joel Schwaerzler | 27c | 229.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.68 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Joel Schwaerzler | 44c | 225.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 32c | 219.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 72c | 210$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 48c | 209.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 56c | 199.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 72c | 195.19$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 76c | 137.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Joel Schwaerzler | 25c | 129.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Joel Schwaerzler | 27c | 99.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b5…6374backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 72c | 98.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 14c | 88.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Joel Schwaerzler | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 25c | 54.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 64c | 49.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 74c | 47.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 72c | 37.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6037…eedebacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Dominic Stephan Stricker | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Dominic Stephan Stricker | 71c | 18.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Joel Schwaerzler | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.