Tennis · resolved market
ATX Open, Qualification: Madison Brengle vs Kayla Day
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34bd13fbc5da93b9f7b86aa4206fc632d751fc6109608816c6f872de75aedafa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brengleof Brengle, Day
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Day | 48c | 2,026$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.09 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Brengle | 60c | 1,992$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.42 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Day | 54c | 1,446$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.62 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Brengle | 44c | 871.93$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.98 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Day | 39c | 771.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Day | 44c | 763.61$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.98 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Day | 45c | 679$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.39 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Day | 58c | 507.84$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.73 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Brengle | 50c | 403.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Day | 46c | 355.04$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.02 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Day | 46c | 347.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Day | 58c | 346.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Day | 19c | 316$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Brengle | 48c | 312.95$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.03 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Day | 13c | 299.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Day | 29c | 249.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Day | 14c | 243.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 13cpaid | +273.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Brengle | 43c | 220.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Day | 46c | 188$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Brengle | 42c | 185.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Day | 29c | 170.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Brengle | 44c | 159$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Day | 32c | 127.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…191bbacked Day | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.46per pick | 16cpaid | +344.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Day | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Day | 33c | 90.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 271 | 47.2%128 W · 143 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Day | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Brengle | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Day | 55c | 78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Brengle | 60c | 77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Brengle | 41c | 73.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Day | 49c | 55.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Brengle | 44c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Day | 22c | 46.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Day | 55c | 45.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe637…03d3backed Day | 59c | 40.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Brengle | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Day | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.