Premier League · resolved market
Salford City FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34c1e1300a0f974562d4cf24a27e75f9b7099d4e576a25cf581a9f277f1bca65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 3,375$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.18 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 30c | 2,814$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.79 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 70c | 2,637$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.71 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 27c | 1,475$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 19c | 946.33$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 79c | 807.75$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 31c | 420$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 338.11$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 31c | 280$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 20c | 182.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 20c | 176$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 200 | 41%82 W · 118 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed No | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 31c | 78.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed No | 29c | 54.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 32c | 49.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Yes | 71c | 29.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.