Lol · resolved market
LoL: GIANTX PRIDE vs LUA Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3512135d7c196423a26ee5481cb862c654275ac7f53fffc16415df8c6e579417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX PRIDEof GIANTX PRIDE, LUA Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed GIANTX PRIDE | 39c | 1,140$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.16 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed LUA Gaming | 73c | 1,100$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed LUA Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GIANTX PRIDE | 29c | 791.24$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.2 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked LUA Gaming | 63c | 583.83$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.43 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed LUA Gaming | 70c | 512.9$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.5 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed GIANTX PRIDE | 57c | 500$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked GIANTX PRIDE | 50c | 182.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 637 | 51.8%330 W · 307 L | +38.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed LUA Gaming | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed GIANTX PRIDE | 30c | 126.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 949 | 44.6%423 W · 526 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed GIANTX PRIDE | 66c | 120.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 663 | 54.3%360 W · 303 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed GIANTX PRIDE | 67c | 113.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked LUA Gaming | 47c | 90.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed GIANTX PRIDE | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 812 | 50.6%411 W · 401 L | +47.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed LUA Gaming | 50c | 72.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed LUA Gaming | 71c | 70.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed LUA Gaming | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked LUA Gaming | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 989 | 63.6%629 W · 360 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…bd2abacked LUA Gaming | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…9c86backed LUA Gaming | 64c | 38.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed GIANTX PRIDE | 43c | 37.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed LUA Gaming | 70c | 31.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked GIANTX PRIDE | 36c | 31.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed LUA Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 677 | 57.3%388 W · 289 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GIANTX PRIDE vs LUA Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: GIANTX PRIDE vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Kick-off Group BGIANTX PRIDE won
- LoL: GIANTX PRIDE vs LUA Gaming - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX PRIDE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.