CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs QUAZAR - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x354c59674564a59d86549a23208fc80f63d3981f8237c2735618e018bbf8265f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BASEMENT BOYS, QUAZAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 47c | 6,065$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.33 | 648 | 56.9%369 W · 279 L | +41.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…6529backed QUAZAR | 50c | 5,000$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed QUAZAR | 51c | 2,926$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.63 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BASEMENT BOYS | 48c | 1,708$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.66 | 539 | 42.9%231 W · 308 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked QUAZAR | 69c | 1,118$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.11 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BASEMENT BOYS | 60c | 741$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.07 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 44c | 490.46$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.81 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…b4e9backed QUAZAR | 45c | 387.89$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 4,275 | 49.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L | +64.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 57c | 251.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 458 | 75.8%347 W · 111 L | +25.4wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked QUAZAR | 43c | 230.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 61c | 218.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 59c | 209.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 3,274 | 51.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L | +91.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed QUAZAR | 53c | 209$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 207$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 2,262 | 47.7%1,080 W · 1,182 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed QUAZAR | 54c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 20c | 180.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked QUAZAR | 78c | 162$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.53 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked QUAZAR | 48c | 145.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BASEMENT BOYS | 48c | 143.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 38c | 114.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 57c | 106.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked QUAZAR | 57c | 87.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUAZAR | 43c | 44.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed QUAZAR | 72c | 17.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 59 | 81.4%48 W · 11 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed QUAZAR | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 160 | 78.8%126 W · 34 L | +18.6wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked QUAZAR | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 44 | 88.6%39 W · 5 L | +8.3wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs QUAZAR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs QUAZAR (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group AQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs QUAZAR - Map 2 WinnerQUAZAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.