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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs QUAZAR (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
QUAZARof BASEMENT BOYS, QUAZAR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f1a…6529backed QUAZAR44c11,886$5,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,674.531855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked BASEMENT BOYS48c3,592$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.6464356.9%366 W · 277 L+40.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed BASEMENT BOYS61c3,538$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.183652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f38…eb70backed BASEMENT BOYS61c1,400$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…f2d0backed QUAZAR51c1,306$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.74456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BASEMENT BOYS52c1,220$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.78,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997f…b0f7backed BASEMENT BOYS9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked BASEMENT BOYS28c1,046$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.892,23743.2%966 W · 1,271 L-70.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed QUAZAR41c590.2$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.3223345.9%107 W · 126 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed BASEMENT BOYS58c589.62$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4521753%115 W · 102 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed QUAZAR66c572.89$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3976945.9%353 W · 416 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f91…315cbacked QUAZAR56c534.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed QUAZAR77c416.43$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4816245.1%73 W · 89 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked BASEMENT BOYS5c400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2231723%73 W · 244 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BASEMENT BOYS30c363.92$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.536,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed QUAZAR55c337.86$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.041,20554.5%657 W · 548 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed BASEMENT BOYS46c321.08$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9417049.4%84 W · 86 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d1…a9f7backed BASEMENT BOYS34c310$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.528739.1%34 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed BASEMENT BOYS45c281.46$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6657739.7%229 W · 348 L-22.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b79…1839backed BASEMENT BOYS12c266.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.71333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c7…3093backed QUAZAR55c262$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed BASEMENT BOYS25c240.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0469671.7%499 W · 197 L+120.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4b6b…acabbacked QUAZAR58c226.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.644456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked BASEMENT BOYS61c212$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.859060%54 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1508…0648backed QUAZAR40c210.69$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.698146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed BASEMENT BOYS44c210$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.740140.4%162 W · 239 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BASEMENT BOYS40c206.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.75,11337.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L-268.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fc…2b03backed BASEMENT BOYS25c201.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501662.5%10 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.34per pick29cpaid+162.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed QUAZAR51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9834049.7%169 W · 171 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked BASEMENT BOYS10c199.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2085937.7%324 W · 535 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked BASEMENT BOYS46c199.64$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.122441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked BASEMENT BOYS56c186.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.631,45052.9%767 W · 683 L+34.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8593…dd67backed BASEMENT BOYS26c170.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece5…6de0backed QUAZAR55c169.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.514650%73 W · 73 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked QUAZAR40c162$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.274853.5%400 W · 348 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed QUAZAR37c160.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.332143.6%140 W · 181 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x672c…881bbacked BASEMENT BOYS12c157.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.721361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed BASEMENT BOYS48c147$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.264,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked BASEMENT BOYS49c145$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.352,24447.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L-4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BASEMENT BOYS39c144.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.054,81743.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L-90.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BASEMENT BOYS50c142.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.114,13250.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L+72.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed BASEMENT BOYS52c138$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.32,58941.2%1,066 W · 1,523 L-123.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked BASEMENT BOYS49c130.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.043,25651.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L+89.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed BASEMENT BOYS52c124$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4554448.2%262 W · 282 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BASEMENT BOYS49c120.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.995,65147.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L+46.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3b…9f07backed QUAZAR77c118.16$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.18875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked BASEMENT BOYS18c115.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.451,21254.4%659 W · 553 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked BASEMENT BOYS54c110$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.72,44142.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L-72.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked BASEMENT BOYS51c105$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.071,93242.2%815 W · 1,117 L-69.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked BASEMENT BOYS61c102.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5136734.1%125 W · 242 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUAZAR41c98.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.492,19247.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L-59.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a3…1753backed QUAZAR51c79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.717860.3%47 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed BASEMENT BOYS61c75.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9554949.4%271 W · 278 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaccc…a483backed BASEMENT BOYS75c67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0540%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed BASEMENT BOYS16c64.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4717250%86 W · 86 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed BASEMENT BOYS61c61.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.583151.6%429 W · 402 L+27.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed BASEMENT BOYS34c58.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0170542%296 W · 409 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked BASEMENT BOYS31c49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4227746.6%129 W · 148 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed QUAZAR79c48.11$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.022,41245.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L-62.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed BASEMENT BOYS50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322754.6%124 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e87…65dfbacked BASEMENT BOYS44c45.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…b55fbacked BASEMENT BOYS35c41.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.612920.7%6 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed QUAZAR50c40.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4614940.3%60 W · 89 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b9…0a8bbacked BASEMENT BOYS55c39.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.683171%22 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62a8…2793backed BASEMENT BOYS71c35.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253050%15 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc62a…76b5backed BASEMENT BOYS58c34.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f8…b0e5backed BASEMENT BOYS45c33.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.933351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed BASEMENT BOYS61c32.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8476748.2%370 W · 397 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d7…c25cbacked QUAZAR62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed QUAZAR69c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.685,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6599…9a1cbacked BASEMENT BOYS46c30.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ca…e92bbacked QUAZAR50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1514958.4%87 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f17…a2adbacked BASEMENT BOYS60c28.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick70cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked BASEMENT BOYS48c27.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.443,31945.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L-87.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed QUAZAR55c27.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.36650%33 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed BASEMENT BOYS45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71,16142.2%490 W · 671 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed QUAZAR55c24.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.237448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed BASEMENT BOYS45c23.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.455745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked QUAZAR70c21.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5342455.2%234 W · 190 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed BASEMENT BOYS54c20.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0516860.7%102 W · 66 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d8d…f1dfbacked BASEMENT BOYS50c20.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6428…c83abacked QUAZAR66c17.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.153387.9%29 W · 4 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.