CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ARCRED (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3551bbc9149e68e29403996d4dfc395acd3009b761f3d6184daf24fa90fcdf3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARCREDof Team Nemesis, ARCRED
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 7,598$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed ARCRED | 44c | 5,021$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.64 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed ARCRED | 44c | 943.18$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.18 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…5f83backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 799.21$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 787.89$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.72 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 763.64$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…55aebacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 459.89$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.33 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 409.79$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 352$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 317.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…effbbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 298.09$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 280$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 222.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 220.35$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed ARCRED | 71c | 204.87$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 101.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 81.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed ARCRED | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…fb01backed ARCRED | 76c | 59.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…d823backed ARCRED | 52c | 48.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ARCRED | 64c | 35.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…4198backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ARCRED | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…fc46backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 30.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2151…9e5fbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 30.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…d1c3backed ARCRED | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…9099backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 17.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 14.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ARCRED (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ARCRED - Map 2 WinnerARCRED won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.