CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35ccf999e4cd803da713d4839cc5011a30279ade3367ad56030db516576884b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof ex-RUBY, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 1,214$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.19 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Phantom | 54c | 826.56$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Phantom | 38c | 294.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 240.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Phantom | 50c | 207.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed ex-RUBY | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed ex-RUBY | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked ex-RUBY | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Phantom | 40c | 199.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Phantom | 52c | 197.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.01 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 194.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 43c | 144.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 46c | 133.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 65c | 115.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Phantom | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 42c | 100.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Phantom | 12c | 89.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Phantom | 60c | 83.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ex-RUBY | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed ex-RUBY | 36c | 65.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Phantom | 42c | 53.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed ex-RUBY | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Phantom | 42c | 44.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed ex-RUBY | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 39.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 32.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 31.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…2918backed ex-RUBY | 76c | 25.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Phantom | 42c | 23.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2410…340cbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 23.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 22.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 280 | 48.6%136 W · 144 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Phantom | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.