CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0bd60bf6ee6c04414af6a587dd88c39f05806aedd29c2745d98fa7e0855a052
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 981.73$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.68 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 62c | 366.32$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 53c | 187.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Over | 15c | 116.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Under | 22c | 106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 36c | 103.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 49c | 96.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Over | 54c | 78.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 54c | 78.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 63.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 52c | 63.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 52c | 63.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 52c | 63.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 52c | 63.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 52c | 63.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 53c | 62.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 53c | 62.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 53c | 62.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 62.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 53c | 62.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 53c | 62.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked Under | 56c | 31.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 71c | 31.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Over | 57c | 25.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.