Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kocaelispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35d124b36d523accc9d9931e55a3a004f68ff55b82608d80de0f39fefdee9937
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Under | 32c | 3,041$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 2,288$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 69c | 2,000$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.01 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 41c | 1,254$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.13 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 40c | 1,205$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 999.97$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 66c | 809.72$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 35c | 789.8$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.39 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 75c | 788$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 783.21$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 35c | 632.96$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.5 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 39c | 491.21$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.65 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 68c | 393.22$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 68c | 393.22$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 69c | 355$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 27c | 249.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 69c | 209.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 69c | 209.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 69c | 209.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 73c | 196.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 68c | 190$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 67c | 188.85$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 69c | 177.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 31c | 141.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 68c | 119.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 101.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 67c | 70.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 18c | 58.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b3cbacked Over | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 66c | 54.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 50c | 54.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 71c | 49.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 73c | 49.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 31c | 45.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 40c | 41.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…839ebacked Under | 71c | 35.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 74c | 31.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Over | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Under | 41c | 27.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba0…980fbacked Over | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…5854backed Under | 67c | 20.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Over | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…daf3backed Over | 72c | 19.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Under | 69c | 16.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kocaelispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5this page
- Kocaelispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kocaelispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kocaelispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kocaelispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-1.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
- Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-1.5)Kocaelispor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.