Asian League · resolved market
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35fac179b3dbc0289e4000749ccf236afea6d0500b4671939c331fc0b221c35e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked No | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.38per pick | 6cpaid | +717.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 948.2$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…c780backed No | 10c | 940.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 35c | 860.39$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.25 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed No | 57c | 621$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 427.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.11 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 36c | 297.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.93 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 275.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 250.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 66c | 250.41$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 48c | 235.29$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 53c | 142$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 132.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 51c | 118.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.35per pick | 8cpaid | +320.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…160fbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 50c | 89.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 50c | 77.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 49c | 61.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 50c | 54.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 55c | 31.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 63c | 27.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…4f3bbacked No | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 50c | 21.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 51c | 21.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Avispa Fukuoka (-2.5)Kyōto Sanga FC won
- Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-2.5)Avispa Fukuoka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.