Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x367b8ce940fcf767d3ef2a4d6f12afa19d67e6f5328b68746eb832b951e06c65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 51c | 1,444$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.36 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…2b8fbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 48c | 360$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 52c | 342.35$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 77c | 286.19$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.17 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…6c60backed Over | 45c | 246.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Under | 55c | 236.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…7402backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Under | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Under | 54c | 220.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 215.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 10c | 170.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Over | 49c | 163.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 52c | 122.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 447 | 38%170 W · 277 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…55d5backed Under | 54c | 83.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 49c | 71.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 57.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Under | 52c | 55.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 48c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Under | 41c | 48.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Over | 49c | 43.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Over | 48c | 38.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0543…f20dbacked Over | 49c | 32.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…8eb4backed Over | 49c | 32.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…21b1backed Over | 49c | 32.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 57c | 28.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 54c | 28.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Under | 56c | 26.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 49c | 21.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc3…ba8ebacked Over | 49c | 21.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…eac9backed Over | 78c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 60c | 17.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group StageKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.