Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2436b834b2a7ed3099e0beca3325bd8fcfdf64364c1536f874ed632576a39bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Karmine Corp, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 2,889$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Team Vitality | 54c | 1,218$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.44 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Team Vitality | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Vitality | 50c | 901.23$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.67 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Team Vitality | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Vitality | 52c | 759.63$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.62 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 536.84$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 496.83$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.9 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Team Vitality | 48c | 387.83$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…5727backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 381.46$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Team Vitality | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Team Vitality | 50c | 339.24$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.21 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Team Vitality | 56c | 319.64$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Team Vitality | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 277.78$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.89 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…7402backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 222$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 204.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…0a7fbacked Team Vitality | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 56cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…5a50backed Team Vitality | 55c | 116.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 116.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Team Vitality | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Team Vitality | 56c | 89.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 85.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Vitality | 53c | 71.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Team Vitality | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 59.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 42.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Team Vitality | 53c | 39.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…3d09backed Team Vitality | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Team Vitality | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Vitality | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Team Vitality | 54c | 20.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Team Vitality | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Team Vitality | 56c | 18.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group StageKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.