Tennis · resolved market
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Milos Karol
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3682acbb3fed60545995db1a49a684bf5699de0087dcd1a6b409a66976840464
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Molcanof Alex Molcan, Milos Karol
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Milos Karol | 16c | 38,062$6,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,151.7 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Milos Karol | 13c | 6,800$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Milos Karol | 10c | 2,025$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.75 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Milos Karol | 12c | 1,810$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.89 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Milos Karol | 14c | 1,531$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.26 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Milos Karol | 18c | 1,056$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Milos Karol | 6c | 1,010$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Milos Karol | 2c | 999.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Milos Karol | 13c | 999.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Milos Karol | 13c | 950.08$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Milos Karol | 2c | 931.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Milos Karol | 21c | 797.59$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…e3a1backed Milos Karol | 12c | 776$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Milos Karol | 6c | 537.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Alex Molcan | 79c | 505.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Milos Karol | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Milos Karol | 16c | 462.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…d8c4backed Milos Karol | 23c | 437.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 28.1%39 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc045…95b2backed Milos Karol | 20c | 398.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Milos Karol | 12c | 374.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…3728backed Alex Molcan | 79c | 348.26$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Milos Karol | 13c | 346.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Milos Karol | 8c | 320.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alex Molcan | 71c | 302.76$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Milos Karol | 7c | 287.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…f45bbacked Milos Karol | 7c | 225$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Milos Karol | 10c | 223$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…7316backed Milos Karol | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Alex Molcan | 77c | 129$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441f…8954backed Milos Karol | 16c | 121.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Milos Karol | 13c | 118.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Milos Karol | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Milos Karol | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Alex Molcan | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Milos Karol | 14c | 88.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Milos Karol | 23c | 84.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Milos Karol | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alex Molcan | 80c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Alex Molcan | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Alex Molcan | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Alex Molcan | 80c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Milos Karolthis page
- Alex Molcan vs. Milos Karol: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.