South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36c2ab16fe631882b41c7dd391fded5ea2721bd11ef67fd9e7cfc638b0eca0aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 2,972$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 40c | 2,029$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.4 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 1,769$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.27 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 1,396$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.27 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 5c | 1,069$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 50c | 1,000$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 806.96$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.48 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 407.24$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.7 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 51c | 385.02$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.58 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 22c | 310$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 275$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Over | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 48c | 175.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 168$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 48c | 139.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 64c | 104.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 51c | 57.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 40.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 49c | 40.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 69c | 40.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 53c | 35.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 77c | 27.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Over | 47c | 24.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC: Coritiba FBC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC: Coritiba FBC O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.