Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: LYON (-1.5) vs Chivas Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x370051ca797b29075e0be3599dbce45837dcf5df72a2173d313e99baa4edaa05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Chivas Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcadf…1f60backed LYON | 71c | 5,733$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.01 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chivas Esports | 26c | 2,400$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…b465backed LYON | 72c | 2,075$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.13 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Chivas Esports | 31c | 1,737$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.61 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Chivas Esports | 29c | 1,124$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.89 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Chivas Esports | 37c | 900$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Chivas Esports | 32c | 585.23$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Chivas Esports | 25c | 507.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…aeb6backed Chivas Esports | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Chivas Esports | 32c | 492.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Chivas Esports | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Chivas Esports | 25c | 342.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked LYON | 70c | 326.13$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Chivas Esports | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Chivas Esports | 31c | 299.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed Chivas Esports | 24c | 238.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked LYON | 76c | 230.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 109 | 75.2%82 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Chivas Esports | 33c | 168.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…e324backed Chivas Esports | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Chivas Esports | 25c | 103.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Chivas Esports | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked LYON | 66c | 87.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed LYON | 76c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Chivas Esports | 29c | 72.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed LYON | 71c | 69.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Chivas Esports | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Chivas Esports | 36c | 47.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LYON | 70c | 38.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Chivas Esports | 29c | 38.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LYON (-1.5) vs Chivas Esports (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular SeasonLYON won
- Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON - Map 1 WinnerLYON won
- Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON - Map 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.