South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3735e06e38de3f3cf0932a62f53728e75d4c204396e6483c4560ab51e766a5d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Yes | 40c | 3,425$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 2,237$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.34 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 2,070$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.27 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 1,656$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.87 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 12c | 1,539$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed No | 30c | 1,495$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,193$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.97 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 870$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.45 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 846.85$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.88 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 54c | 772.43$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.49 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 564.3$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 60c | 539.13$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 68c | 368.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 32c | 367$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…51a5backed No | 49c | 316$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa593…47bdbacked No | 48c | 305$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8f…2ba5backed No | 48c | 295$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…b98cbacked No | 48c | 285$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…53eebacked No | 47c | 276$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d6…16b7backed No | 47c | 267$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 40c | 260.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.08 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6a…c183backed Yes | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa4…75c2backed No | 47c | 255$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee1…81aabacked Yes | 56c | 255$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…df68backed Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b1…a47abacked No | 47c | 245$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae54…4640backed Yes | 56c | 245$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd5…ccbcbacked Yes | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa104…02debacked No | 47c | 237$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…72bfbacked Yes | 56c | 235$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…a192backed Yes | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…0c7fbacked No | 49c | 229$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…366dbacked No | 47c | 225$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fc…d2a4backed Yes | 53c | 225$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…37cdbacked Yes | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebb…9ccfbacked No | 47c | 217$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…4e75backed Yes | 53c | 215$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4b…98d0backed Yes | 53c | 210$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf870…c638backed No | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…015cbacked Yes | 53c | 205$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 50c | 201.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…5116backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…2f53backed No | 44c | 197$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…aa61backed Yes | 53c | 195$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0c…5f24backed Yes | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…f2acbacked No | 44c | 185$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…374ebacked Yes | 52c | 185$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed No | 11c | 183.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +289.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdee…42dfbacked Yes | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 156.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 138.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 127.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Yes | 42c | 102.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 39c | 59.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 47c | 58.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 72c | 54.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked No | 27c | 52.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 40c | 49.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb169…f954backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 23c | 46.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes | 46c | 36.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 32.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yes | 53c | 19.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-01-28?No won
- Will EC Vitória vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.