Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37f83c32d800c967feb102b1b45dcf94605120771466f0c5be5aa631bdaf3852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 3,571$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.05 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 9c | 1,240$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 49c | 819.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 46c | 539.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 12c | 490.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Under | 58c | 336.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 305.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 9c | 276$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…e6a0backed Under | 80c | 266.15$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 66c | 164.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 21c | 137.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 61c | 99.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 62c | 65.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 70c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Under | 39c | 50.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 26.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed Under | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 4.5this page
- Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.