Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x327f130c4c2ad8f77655bddc1d89bf6a122a4b19ea021c3572d0c4cf848dc682
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 2c | 16,570$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.78 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 2,478$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.5 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked Over | 70c | 1,283$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.16 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 79c | 772.93$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Over | 79c | 493$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 422.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 69c | 299.98$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Over | 71c | 283$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 71c | 281.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 69c | 247$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 231.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 205.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 64c | 186.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 32c | 177.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 29c | 137.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 67c | 121$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…33fbbacked Over | 70c | 119.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 68c | 91.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…42d1backed Over | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 88.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 86.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 68c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 31c | 63.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 66c | 62.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…7566backed Under | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 31c | 52.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 31c | 47.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 236 | 65.3%154 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 36.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 31c | 36.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 68c | 31.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7757backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 69c | 25.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 62c | 17.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 117 | 75.2%88 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 68c | 16.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 69c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 1.5this page
- Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5Over won
- Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.