Lol · resolved market
LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x380cbb6676902787e7c2754198be44bd85e1eb59595df2fe6f06f9777691e4b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lenovo Legion Honvédof MAGAZA, Lenovo Legion Honvéd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1c9…8709backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 79c | 3,038$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81cd…9c75backed MAGAZA | 15c | 2,700$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 75c | 949.3$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.37 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 78c | 609.94$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed MAGAZA | 60c | 503.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked MAGAZA | 30c | 358.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 69c | 225.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 414 | 69.3%287 W · 127 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 392 | 51.3%201 W · 191 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 56c | 111.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +23.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 66c | 98.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 64c | 97.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed MAGAZA | 32c | 76.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…edc9backed MAGAZA | 32c | 74.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 53c | 70.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed MAGAZA | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 167 | 47.3%79 W · 88 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 75c | 35.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…1c12backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 42c | 27.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +126%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 76c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL PlayoffsLenovo Legion Honvéd won
- LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 1 WinnerLenovo Legion Honvéd won
- LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 2 WinnerMAGAZA won
- LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 3 WinnerLenovo Legion Honvéd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.