Lol · resolved market
LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x295aab4d27fe32688bc1c249c7d11b31376432bc1556f0d223c0bc68494949e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lenovo Legion Honvédof MAGAZA, Lenovo Legion Honvéd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81cd…9c75backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 25c | 5,971$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MAGAZA | 72c | 3,349$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.33 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked MAGAZA | 76c | 2,687$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.12 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…a93abacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 30c | 2,331$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed MAGAZA | 75c | 1,977$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.82 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…58f2backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 65c | 801.2$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +11.8wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…1c12backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 72c | 694.21$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed MAGAZA | 28c | 539.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 279 | 41.2%115 W · 164 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked MAGAZA | 21c | 397.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 481 | 47.2%227 W · 254 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed MAGAZA | 27c | 225.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 310 | 52.3%162 W · 148 L | +30.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MAGAZA | 73c | 190$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 26c | 169.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac3…6ec2backed MAGAZA | 23c | 144$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed MAGAZA | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 164 | 62.2%102 W · 62 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MAGAZA | 77c | 93.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MAGAZA | 57c | 87.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MAGAZA | 42c | 81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 889 | 49.6%441 W · 448 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 29c | 69.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked MAGAZA | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed MAGAZA | 76c | 63.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…e87abacked MAGAZA | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MAGAZA | 32c | 53.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 756 | 49.6%375 W · 381 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked MAGAZA | 45c | 52.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1,082 | 39.5%427 W · 655 L | -78.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MAGAZA | 77c | 48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -52.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed MAGAZA | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 550 | 45.3%249 W · 301 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 73c | 42.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed MAGAZA | 33c | 35.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 209 | 66.5%139 W · 70 L | +29.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed MAGAZA | 46c | 33.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 291 | 30.6%89 W · 202 L | -31.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked MAGAZA | 75c | 26.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 63.3%88 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed MAGAZA | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed MAGAZA | 76c | 14.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 73c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL PlayoffsLenovo Legion Honvéd won
- LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 2 WinnerMAGAZA won
- LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 3 WinnerLenovo Legion Honvéd won
- LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 4 WinnerLenovo Legion Honvéd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.