Cricket · resolved market
T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Malaysia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x382ff378abfd925446f4b44f910bb9a17e545652ac838ef1e47924569f6ee279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hong Kong, Chinaof Hong Kong, China, Malaysia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Malaysia | 10c | 3,557$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.61 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Malaysia | 2c | 3,357$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Malaysia | 6c | 2,008$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Malaysia | 4c | 1,568$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Malaysia | 12c | 1,369$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.34 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Malaysia | 8c | 987.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Malaysia | 3c | 796.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd61…d9a3backed Malaysia | 9c | 783.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Malaysia | 5c | 647.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Malaysia | 3c | 521.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Malaysia | 10c | 499.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Malaysia | 7c | 489.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5e…87d1backed Malaysia | 14c | 379.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Malaysia | 6c | 301.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Malaysia | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…420abacked Malaysia | 8c | 249.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed Malaysia | 14c | 143.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Malaysia | 8c | 139.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Malaysia | 9c | 106.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad61…5a26backed Hong Kong, China | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.