Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Argentina vs Suriname
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x383ce4377b48371e8489a0028ecd0985ffda1d69e972c4bff23fc8b304a9c718
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Argentinaof Argentina, Suriname
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,860 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Suriname | 21c | 1,400$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.28 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Argentina | 77c | 680.2$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.45 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Suriname | 10c | 647.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…190ebacked Suriname | 25c | 570$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1921…a4bdbacked Suriname | 25c | 570$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…faf2backed Suriname | 25c | 530$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…85b8backed Suriname | 25c | 530$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Suriname | 23c | 444.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Suriname | 24c | 376.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Suriname | 23c | 336.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Argentina | 75c | 307.71$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Suriname | 34c | 304.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d39…9b8dbacked Argentina | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1592…bdf4backed Argentina | 75c | 290$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suriname | 46c | 288.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…9679backed Argentina | 75c | 280$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298a…0244backed Argentina | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…b1b7backed Argentina | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b85…6b9fbacked Argentina | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Suriname | 19c | 261.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…b014backed Argentina | 75c | 260$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…48a9backed Argentina | 75c | 260$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Suriname | 17c | 238.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Suriname | 11c | 194.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suriname | 17c | 193.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Argentina | 76c | 172$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Suriname | 25c | 155.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Suriname | 27c | 137$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Suriname | 23c | 136$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Argentina | 74c | 135.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…b294backed Argentina | 77c | 130.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Suriname | 25c | 125.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Argentina | 77c | 123.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Argentina | 63c | 123.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Suriname | 36c | 118.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Argentina | 77c | 111$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Argentina | 55c | 109.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Argentina | 79c | 97.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Suriname | 25c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Argentina | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…acd7backed Argentina | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…bd68backed Suriname | 50c | 75.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Argentina | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Suriname | 47c | 74.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…c634backed Suriname | 50c | 69.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…f433backed Argentina | 79c | 68.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Suriname | 22c | 61.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suriname | 21c | 57.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Argentina | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…e9fcbacked Suriname | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Argentina | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Argentina | 77c | 48.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Argentina | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…16c6backed Suriname | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…88ccbacked Argentina | 75c | 39.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed Argentina | 72c | 34.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…31e0backed Argentina | 78c | 33.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…bec1backed Argentina | 76c | 33.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Argentina | 54c | 27.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked Argentina | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…e4eabacked Argentina | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Argentina | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…ada9backed Argentina | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Argentina | 72c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Argentina | 77c | 17.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bc…6b74backed Argentina | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…be92backed Argentina | 75c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Argentina vs Surinamethis page
- T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Argentina vs Suriname - Completed match?Yes won
- T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Argentina vs Suriname - Who wins the toss?Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.