CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Heroic (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38ee985636c169c4a0d496c8c9ef3ec3acce18aaffda08d1988600f8913d55d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Nuclear TigeRES, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 24c | 5,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Heroic | 75c | 3,447$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.72 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…e1c8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 18c | 2,520$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Heroic | 76c | 2,406$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.43 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f6…ebbebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 24c | 2,400$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed Heroic | 77c | 1,903$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.69 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…a82ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 24c | 1,600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4f…8971backed Nuclear TigeRES | 24c | 1,600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Nuclear TigeRES | 19c | 1,588$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.72 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Heroic | 76c | 1,494$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nuclear TigeRES | 24c | 1,225$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 20c | 1,197$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.67 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Nuclear TigeRES | 23c | 1,095$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.4 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nuclear TigeRES | 24c | 899.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 5c | 836.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…c20abacked Heroic | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a6…a8a5backed Heroic | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…b5f3backed Heroic | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…49f7backed Heroic | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c5…55b2backed Heroic | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5594…57c6backed Heroic | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3086…7c7bbacked Heroic | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 20c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Heroic | 79c | 317.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 24c | 212.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 25c | 202.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Heroic | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Heroic | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Nuclear TigeRES | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Heroic (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.