Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3916c89cae2d85c9f7244a6df9dc821b2c4fc67c8779031009c2a9f8fab928f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 38c | 6,555$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.46 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 70c | 2,894$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.24 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 1,117$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.1 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 70c | 642.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 58c | 620.69$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.69 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 42c | 599.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 40c | 288.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 66c | 280$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 218.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 60c | 204$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 147.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 59c | 134.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 41c | 94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 71.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 26c | 61.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 59.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yes | 70c | 29.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 40c | 29.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2232backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.45per pick | 37cpaid | +225.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…5004backed Yes | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.