Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39495435fee323eacc0326352fca1b6afc49b06dd16d010e4d7a29433fb10618
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Cheeki_Breeki, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Power Rangers | 75c | 800$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.07 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Power Rangers | 69c | 748.5$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.23 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Cheeki_Breeki | 19c | 737$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 28c | 727.79$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.74 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Power Rangers | 80c | 515.74$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 29c | 478.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 14c | 145.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Cheeki_Breeki | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 18c | 89.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Power Rangers | 65c | 85.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Cheeki_Breeki | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Cheeki_Breeki | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed Cheeki_Breeki | 30c | 37.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 117 | 39.3%46 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Power Rangers | 75c | 18.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.