Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6510413d449ef0810a5535c42af5e3d363cb4ca31a02a36cdd7b187d100c3ad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Cheeki_Breeki, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 7c | 3,021$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Cheeki_Breeki | 2c | 941.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cheeki_Breeki | 78c | 685.71$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.71 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Cheeki_Breeki | 51c | 606.52$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.33 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Cheeki_Breeki | 56c | 431.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.83 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Power Rangers | 78c | 419.54$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Power Rangers | 51c | 374.3$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.69 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Power Rangers | 56c | 367.22$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.99 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 46c | 359.72$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.14 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Cheeki_Breeki | 44c | 346.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Power Rangers | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Power Rangers | 60c | 263.59$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Power Rangers | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Cheeki_Breeki | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 55c | 227.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers | 28c | 215.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Cheeki_Breeki | 57c | 205.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Cheeki_Breeki | 38c | 201.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…c90cbacked Power Rangers | 62c | 146$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 40c | 142.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Power Rangers | 56c | 139.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Power Rangers | 65c | 137.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Power Rangers | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Power Rangers | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Power Rangers | 48c | 98.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Power Rangers | 78c | 98.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Power Rangers | 80c | 93.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 53c | 92.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 67c | 73.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Power Rangers | 61c | 63.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Power Rangers | 49c | 53.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Power Rangers | 25c | 44.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Power Rangers | 72c | 42.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…737abacked Power Rangers | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Power Rangers | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed Power Rangers | 43c | 25.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 117 | 39.3%46 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Power Rangers | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Power Rangers | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.