TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kiwoom Heroesof Kiwoom Heroes, Kia Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,546 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers14c1,212$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11eb…50cbbacked Kia Tigers69c537.32$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb43e…8200backed Kiwoom Heroes33c172.16$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3522744.9%102 W · 125 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kia Tigers30c153.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.722,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x304a…05ecbacked Kia Tigers17c144.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249425.5%24 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Kiwoom Heroes31c136.43$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1546152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Kiwoom Heroes33c126.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8953655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Kiwoom Heroes79c125$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.251,10079.6%876 W · 224 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Kiwoom Heroes31c115.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9222450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Kiwoom Heroes30c110.76$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9948851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7a…ebe3backed Kiwoom Heroes28c102.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.416640.9%27 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers38c101.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4221248.1%102 W · 110 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Kia Tigers67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6784651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a9e…1359backed Kia Tigers70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7399447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes31c95.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7659038.8%229 W · 361 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Kia Tigers73c89.55$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4615849.4%78 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes29c85.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0388247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kia Tigers73c84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.221,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98a…edffbacked Kiwoom Heroes29c69.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.281546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Kiwoom Heroes28c66.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0312939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Kia Tigers72c59.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.11163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f8…d951backed Kia Tigers51c59.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes28c58.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.842,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Kia Tigers69c50.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3580855.3%447 W · 361 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Kiwoom Heroes31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3916044.4%71 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers72c44.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Kiwoom Heroes31c41.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7646255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.685,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7201…00a4backed Kia Tigers65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Kiwoom Heroes31c39.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4528553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Kia Tigers72c34.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534139.9%136 W · 205 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1790…30f7backed Kia Tigers71c20.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.691533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Kia Tigers70c19.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5134264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Kia Tigers72c18.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.688855.7%49 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4438…f659backed Kia Tigers74c17.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.645345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Kia Tigers69c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0414555.9%81 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Kia Tigers70c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510452.9%55 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Kia Tigers69c14.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.139056.9%222 W · 168 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Kia Tigers72c14.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.394245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc978…fcddbacked Kia Tigers71c14.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.