CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x397709f66994c51c435379f988790d7ea146128a3b95199111daeb1a89d7f5da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, MINLATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MINLATE | 6c | 1,147$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 802.41$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed MINLATE | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 769.39$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.29 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 760$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.14 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Eternal Fire | 73c | 653.82$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.82 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MINLATE | 23c | 575.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…9f1bbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 517$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 513.64$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.73 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MINLATE | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked MINLATE | 29c | 472.31$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MINLATE | 42c | 307.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.23 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked MINLATE | 36c | 287.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 282.25$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed MINLATE | 40c | 188.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 169.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked MINLATE | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MINLATE | 29c | 141$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 402 | 34.6%139 W · 263 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed MINLATE | 33c | 90.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Eternal Fire | 66c | 86.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Eternal Fire | 61c | 71.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked MINLATE | 23c | 69.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed MINLATE | 29c | 67.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Eternal Fire | 64c | 66.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked MINLATE | 26c | 64.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -9.7wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed MINLATE | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed MINLATE | 24c | 54.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed MINLATE | 29c | 54.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Eternal Fire | 69c | 51.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed MINLATE | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed MINLATE | 30c | 41.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed MINLATE | 36c | 38.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Eternal Fire | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1116…4e59backed MINLATE | 43c | 26.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Eternal Fire | 76c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MINLATE - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MINLATE - Map 2 WinnerMINLATE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.