NHL · resolved market
DEL: EHC Red Bull Muenchen vs. Straubing Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x397804a0bc4e18139d5ee39e345dc7adf9bb666fd8bbd4cd938de5039ad2f48c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EHC Red Bull Muenchenof EHC Red Bull Muenchen, Straubing Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,843 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 60c | 633.33$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 60c | 574.98$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.43 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Straubing Tigers | 41c | 545.4$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Straubing Tigers | 40c | 434.78$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Straubing Tigers | 41c | 421.76$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Straubing Tigers | 41c | 329.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd646…6832backed Straubing Tigers | 41c | 242.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 60c | 166.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 60c | 64.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 59c | 55.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 60c | 50.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed EHC Red Bull Muenchen | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.