Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Southern Illinois Salukis (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3997585a25fac62419bf949830b67baf3b20adede8fda7d2cb6a880997d569c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana State Sycamoresof Indiana State Sycamores, Southern Illinois Salukis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,786 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Indiana State Sycamores | 50c | 1,894$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.88 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 45c | 984.49$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.05 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 54c | 664.99$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x543b…7a77backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 57c | 624.56$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…97bcbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 47c | 429.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.63 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 408$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 49c | 219.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.14 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 49c | 203.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 43c | 181.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 36c | 168$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 137.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…b03bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 48c | 116.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 51.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Indiana State Sycamores | 50c | 51.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 50.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Indiana State Sycamores | 58c | 42.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Indiana State Sycamores | 56c | 35.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 45c | 28.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 47c | 22.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.