Other European Leagues · resolved market
CS Marítimo vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39caa412dda32c742cacd1583e02ee9c596847d18367ea5df984b86d23be6ff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 55c | 6,314$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 5,013$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.81 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 2,094$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.08 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 71c | 1,560$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.63 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 1,449$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.87 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 46c | 1,316$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.85 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 860.59$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 32c | 737$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.16 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Under | 49c | 712.1$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 30c | 506.33$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.43 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 3c | 436.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…b9f8backed Under | 48c | 436.03$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 49c | 299.95$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 28c | 257.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 8c | 247.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…15cdbacked Over | 36c | 139.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 72c | 139.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Over | 46c | 132.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 69.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 47c | 53.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 46c | 34.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 67c | 19.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 63c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Marítimo vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5this page
- CS Marítimo vs. Casa Pia AC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CS Marítimo vs. Casa Pia AC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CS Marítimo vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Marítimo vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Marítimo vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Marítimo vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CS Marítimo (-1.5)Casa Pia AC won
- Spread: Casa Pia AC (-1.5)CS Marítimo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.