Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. LIU Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a255e6fc226d2f838502328e2bf0fc8f80800dd00d0b529e41306530ef17009
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LIU Sharksof Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, LIU Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 13c | 15,880$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 18c | 752.34$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 15c | 727.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 15c | 677.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked LIU Sharks | 78c | 497.3$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LIU Sharks | 78c | 497.23$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…0d72backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 13c | 479.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 20c | 442.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 26c | 421.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed LIU Sharks | 80c | 346.37$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 31c | 315.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LIU Sharks | 80c | 159$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 18c | 157.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 19c | 99.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 15c | 99.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 17c | 99.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked LIU Sharks | 75c | 99.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 35c | 97.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…9077backed LIU Sharks | 78c | 59.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 28c | 48.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb896…c033backed LIU Sharks | 79c | 38.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…d328backed LIU Sharks | 79c | 37.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked LIU Sharks | 79c | 29.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9779…180abacked LIU Sharks | 75c | 24.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…16babacked LIU Sharks | 78c | 17.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed LIU Sharks | 73c | 14.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.