Tennis · resolved market
ITF Corroios-Seixal: Hina Inoue vs Cagla Buyukakcay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a2ab892652eb693e45fad754b812824af0b7b6e41680aa29d6af279807a8524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cagla Buyukakcayof Hina Inoue, Cagla Buyukakcay
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hina Inoue | 9c | 6,694$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.85 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 72c | 2,676$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.44 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Hina Inoue | 36c | 1,612$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.65 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.09 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 59c | 833.75$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.37 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Hina Inoue | 21c | 726.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 39c | 590.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.28 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hina Inoue | 75c | 390$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Hina Inoue | 31c | 268.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 25c | 237$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 72c | 178.26$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 33c | 149.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Hina Inoue | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 42c | 106.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 42c | 104.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Hina Inoue | 21c | 100.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 50c | 97.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Hina Inoue | 60c | 97.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hina Inoue | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Hina Inoue | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Hina Inoue | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Hina Inoue | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hina Inoue | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hina Inoue | 50c | 42.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Hina Inoue | 30c | 40.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 64c | 39.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 39c | 38.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Hina Inoue | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 57c | 33.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 47c | 32.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 76c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Hina Inoue | 77c | 13.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.