CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a399c6b036fc3719044d363dad8d22e659bf66e792680885ab1218e09a27969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 4,498$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.25 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dac…73a5backed Over | 14c | 3,306$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Over | 51c | 2,659$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.32 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Over | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 50c | 876.26$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.21 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Over | 48c | 500.66$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.15 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Under | 50c | 278.58$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 49c | 249.16$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…c323backed Under | 50c | 179.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 52c | 121.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Under | 50c | 97.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 51c | 96.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 48c | 94.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 54c | 92.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Over | 51c | 85.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Under | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 71c | 70.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Under | 49c | 66.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…c9dcbacked Over | 51c | 63.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 51c | 39.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…13ffbacked Under | 53c | 31.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 53c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 53c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 53c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 53c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 53c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Over | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…27f3backed Under | 50c | 28.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…26f0backed Under | 51c | 25.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
- Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.