CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdcfb99eeaf46212db42c1d0e32981b47f47ff7d78b65751e3f7d3fe9d51e4d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof FOKUS, BC.Game Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked BC.Game Esports | 68c | 8,265$5,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,620.52 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked FOKUS | 32c | 4,217$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.89 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked FOKUS | 32c | 2,994$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.16 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed BC.Game Esports | 71c | 638.69$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.47 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed FOKUS | 32c | 617.71$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed FOKUS | 29c | 531.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.67 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked FOKUS | 56c | 514.96$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.76 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked FOKUS | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed BC.Game Esports | 43c | 357.81$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed BC.Game Esports | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked BC.Game Esports | 45c | 166$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BC.Game Esports | 51c | 139.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked BC.Game Esports | 74c | 130.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed FOKUS | 55c | 111.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed FOKUS | 49c | 100.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked FOKUS | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BC.Game Esports | 47c | 71.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed FOKUS | 50c | 68.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked FOKUS | 31c | 63.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked FOKUS | 50c | 58.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed BC.Game Esports | 44c | 53.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed FOKUS | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed BC.Game Esports | 69c | 52.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed BC.Game Esports | 68c | 48.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd07c…26fdbacked FOKUS | 50c | 40.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed FOKUS | 52c | 36.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed BC.Game Esports | 69c | 25.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BC.Game Esports | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.