CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-6.5) vs Ground Zero (+6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a654e1bc220f19705a6bb6396745945aee09cd0af81ab936c78c30480ad0be4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Lynn Vision, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Lynn Vision | 52c | 3,258$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.85 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Ground Zero | 50c | 700$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Lynn Vision | 51c | 600$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Ground Zero | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Ground Zero | 46c | 488.84$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.84 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Ground Zero | 47c | 443.73$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Ground Zero | 45c | 358.59$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Ground Zero | 44c | 353.71$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.56 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Ground Zero | 49c | 345.43$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.23 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Ground Zero | 48c | 246.15$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Lynn Vision | 54c | 243.57$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Ground Zero | 48c | 228.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Lynn Vision | 56c | 204.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Ground Zero | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Ground Zero | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Ground Zero | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…e18fbacked Ground Zero | 46c | 89.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-6.5) vs Ground Zero (+6.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier PlayoffsLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LVG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)Lynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.