CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb75e8c63fa3949da04729ea254c0c7e46d3d0cae26a419b481bd66ca5e5346ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof Ground Zero, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Ground Zero | 7c | 12,898$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.18 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Ground Zero | 6c | 4,304$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.27 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Ground Zero | 7c | 3,993$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.17 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Ground Zero | 8c | 3,538$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.84 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ground Zero | 7c | 2,879$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Ground Zero | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…3dd8backed Ground Zero | 11c | 1,907$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Ground Zero | 5c | 1,585$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ground Zero | 13c | 1,515$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ground Zero | 6c | 1,152$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Ground Zero | 7c | 1,106$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed Ground Zero | 6c | 1,100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Ground Zero | 8c | 1,014$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Ground Zero | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ground Zero | 8c | 859.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…9d25backed Ground Zero | 9c | 755.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ground Zero | 6c | 620$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Ground Zero | 8c | 618.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Ground Zero | 6c | 604.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Ground Zero | 6c | 567$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Ground Zero | 10c | 561.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Ground Zero | 6c | 471.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ground Zero | 6c | 451.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…fd40backed Ground Zero | 6c | 401.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ground Zero | 8c | 394.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ground Zero | 7c | 332$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ground Zero | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ground Zero | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ground Zero | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Ground Zero | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Ground Zero | 6c | 290.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ground Zero | 6c | 266.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ground Zero | 9c | 215.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Ground Zero | 8c | 202.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Ground Zero | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Ground Zero | 8c | 157.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Ground Zero | 11c | 146.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…ac83backed Ground Zero | 12c | 142.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…2946backed Ground Zero | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…82b5backed Ground Zero | 20c | 99.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Lynn Vision | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 264 | 48.1%127 W · 137 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-6.5) vs Ground Zero (+6.5)Ground Zero won
- Map Handicap: LVG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)Lynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.