CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42eb1e7f925a6f63dd83fd92d671ee1a254f85536ca528effbd45cb4fed16192
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof Ground Zero, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Ground Zero | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ground Zero | 15c | 1,832$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.76 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Ground Zero | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Ground Zero | 19c | 779.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Ground Zero | 9c | 520.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Ground Zero | 8c | 370$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Ground Zero | 13c | 351.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ground Zero | 13c | 342.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Ground Zero | 12c | 330$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Ground Zero | 12c | 311.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Ground Zero | 12c | 302.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ground Zero | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ground Zero | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Ground Zero | 13c | 278$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ground Zero | 14c | 225$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Ground Zero | 13c | 175$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Ground Zero | 23c | 166.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Ground Zero | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ground Zero | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Ground Zero | 17c | 125.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Ground Zero | 16c | 96.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013e…65ddbacked Ground Zero | 15c | 91.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ground Zero | 18c | 91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lynn Vision | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ground Zero | 18c | 63.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lynn Vision | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Lynn Vision | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier PlayoffsLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lynn Vision (-6.5) vs Ground Zero (+6.5)Ground Zero won
- Map Handicap: LVG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)Lynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.