Europa Conference League · resolved market
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a68bfeba776564426d543c5af4e37a1088592d49d2c5030377a7b08b7ca2f4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 37c | 1,763$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.63 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 1,148$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.48 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 787.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.89 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 37c | 562.17$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.56 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 63c | 475.05$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.35 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 63c | 255$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 63c | 252.24$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…4ed5backed Over | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 37c | 179.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 39c | 173.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…93aebacked Over | 63c | 158.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 64c | 120.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…1477backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 62c | 49.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 59c | 29.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Under | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Over | 63c | 23.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 62c | 17.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)Celtic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.