Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1550335ae4b266154a8bcdfa8aad310b6b123cf0ffdce51755ed3361dd6d77d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celtic FCof Feyenoord Rotterdam, Celtic FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtic FC | 71c | 1,229$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.79 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Celtic FC | 47c | 1,031$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.68 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 34c | 487.77$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 17c | 328.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 154$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 32c | 119.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 49c | 104$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 104$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 50c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtic FC | 48c | 33.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)this page
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.