TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Pyunik FA (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Marsaxlokk FCof Pyunik FA, Marsaxlokk FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,822 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21e8…b85ebacked Pyunik FA34c1,476$500 inLost-$50040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Marsaxlokk FC67c648.32$434 inWon+$214.2814245.8%65 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Pyunik FA19c509.93$95 inLost-$95.412,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Marsaxlokk FC72c357.46$257 inWon+$100.091361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Pyunik FA35c330.31$114 inLost-$114.472,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Marsaxlokk FC66c295.6$195 inWon+$100.58549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Pyunik FA28c267.85$75 inLost-$753225%8 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pyunik FA11c251.53$27 inLost-$27.241,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Marsaxlokk FC64c200$129 inWon+$711,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Marsaxlokk FC65c149.67$97 inWon+$52.3847649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Marsaxlokk FC65c140$91 inWon+$494060%24 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Pyunik FA35c126.42$45 inLost-$44.7996947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Marsaxlokk FC69c105.36$73 inWon+$32.8137043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Pyunik FA36c100$36 inLost-$3677855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Marsaxlokk FC78c99.51$78 inWon+$21.892,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Pyunik FA28c80.35$22 inLost-$22.52450%12 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Marsaxlokk FC67c74$50 inWon+$24.491,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Marsaxlokk FC71c62.78$44 inWon+$18.285350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Marsaxlokk FC66c51.52$34 inWon+$17.5212242.6%52 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Pyunik FA29c44.83$13 inLost-$131747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Marsaxlokk FC66c40$26 inWon+$13.631842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Marsaxlokk FC66c38.84$26 inWon+$13.213372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d34…e004backed Pyunik FA33c30.64$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Marsaxlokk FC66c16.38$11 inWon+$5.5879354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.