Europa Conference League · resolved market
Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66346076a76d33387f70a7ea91829f5b67a6457b607fff684bc5e68081545da7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 47c | 1,324$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.72 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 1,017$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.35 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 912.25$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.33 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Under | 58c | 866.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 856.59$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.41 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 40c | 491.46$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.87 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 53c | 478.41$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.91 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 363.18$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.09 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 214.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 168.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 62c | 145$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 46c | 136.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 38c | 109.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 371 | 43.7%162 W · 209 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 64c | 103.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 37c | 99.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 70c | 98.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 51c | 88.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 37c | 87.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 44c | 86.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 59c | 82.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 63c | 79.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 60c | 66.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 42c | 62.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 36c | 59.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…0156backed Over | 57c | 52.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 63c | 49.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 63c | 49.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 37c | 46.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 63c | 22.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 59c | 17.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC: Marsaxlokk FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC: Pyunik FA O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Pyunik FA (-1.5)Marsaxlokk FC won
- Spread: Pyunik FA (-2.5)Marsaxlokk FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.