Tennis · resolved market
Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Xinyu Gao
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a9fea0582b3172d08a0680ca23f85c84acde68051eb654f0907a8daf6caf9bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xiyu Wangof Xiyu Wang, Xinyu Gao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xinyu Gao | 15c | 9,290$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.97 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Xinyu Gao | 13c | 4,984$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.83 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xinyu Gao | 7c | 4,927$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.98 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Xinyu Gao | 16c | 4,375$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Xinyu Gao | 7c | 3,931$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.12 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xinyu Gao | 8c | 2,305$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Xinyu Gao | 19c | 1,568$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.95 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Xinyu Gao | 15c | 1,172$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Xinyu Gao | 11c | 1,089$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Xinyu Gao | 1c | 1,014$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Xinyu Gao | 19c | 1,000$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.44 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Xinyu Gao | 16c | 880.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Xinyu Gao | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Xinyu Gao | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Xinyu Gao | 15c | 429.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Xinyu Gao | 16c | 410.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Xinyu Gao | 16c | 323.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Xinyu Gao | 17c | 233.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Xinyu Gao | 17c | 227.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Xinyu Gao | 17c | 224.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Xinyu Gao | 6c | 188.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…0242backed Xinyu Gao | 13c | 180.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Xinyu Gao | 23c | 174.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Xinyu Gao | 16c | 124$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Xinyu Gao | 18c | 119$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Xinyu Gao | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Xinyu Gao | 16c | 104$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Xinyu Gao | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c343backed Xinyu Gao | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Xinyu Gao | 17c | 72.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Xinyu Gao | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Xiyu Wang | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.