Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Austin Peay Governors (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3abf42c9a0d976f4929742adfd2f56d97f72a87e3e7d73f0cffd9841005a9a37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosof Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, Austin Peay Governors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,072 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd035…f165backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 32c | 607.2$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.65 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Austin Peay Governors | 68c | 416$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.88 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Austin Peay Governors | 71c | 376$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.96 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Austin Peay Governors | 20c | 307.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 29c | 298$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.58 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 35c | 280.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Austin Peay Governors | 71c | 269$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Austin Peay Governors | 52c | 250.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Austin Peay Governors | 68c | 216.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…50b0backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 49c | 206.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 58c | 182.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Austin Peay Governors | 72c | 160$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 29c | 155$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Austin Peay Governors | 69c | 130.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 31c | 105.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 29c | 90.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 39c | 75.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Austin Peay Governors | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Austin Peay Governors | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Austin Peay Governors | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.