CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Atreides (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ad403b18c33d22ffbb402f5f797ffad19a39e90c411fd60ed2efcfa69c34ce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Entropyof Entropy, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Atreides | 56c | 2,650$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.99 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Entropy | 44c | 2,346$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.34 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Atreides | 20c | 285.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Atreides | 37c | 191.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Entropy | 44c | 161.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Entropy | 44c | 144.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 45c | 99.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Atreides | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Atreides | 36c | 88.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Atreides | 16c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1523backed Entropy | 65c | 77.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Atreides | 60c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…2138backed Entropy | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Atreides | 33c | 36.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Entropy | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…b94dbacked Entropy | 44c | 29.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Atreides (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Atreides - Map 2 WinnerEntropy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.