Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b3c69fbce2c5ab2614e730f1b2ee506da83bbaf109ee308684aef507c6c4c44

Rebuilt 28 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: South America Rejectsof South America Rejects, Cheeki_Breeki
Resolved: Apr 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,570 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe999…12bdbacked South America Rejects	74c	2,985$2,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.54	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Cheeki_Breeki	15c	2,730$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.71	106	18.9%20 W · 86 L	-14.0wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-52%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Cheeki_Breeki	18c	2,345$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.89	698	35.2%246 W · 452 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed South America Rejects	77c	2,052$1,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.59	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Cheeki_Breeki	23c	1,336$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.71	372	23.1%86 W · 286 L	-38.2wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Cheeki_Breeki	24c	1,099$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.5	292	40.4%118 W · 174 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Cheeki_Breeki	20c	1,096$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.38	208	27.9%58 W · 150 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked South America Rejects	75c	790.82$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.71	367	59.1%217 W · 150 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Cheeki_Breeki	25c	775.5$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.88	340	51.5%175 W · 165 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked South America Rejects	63c	745.51$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.85	913	56.1%512 W · 401 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked South America Rejects	72c	685.26$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.61	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Cheeki_Breeki	27c	658.81$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.88	470	46.6%219 W · 251 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Cheeki_Breeki	34c	626.02$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.15	153	42.5%65 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked South America Rejects	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	200	43.5%87 W · 113 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Cheeki_Breeki	34c	598.45$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.91	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc297…b1eabacked South America Rejects	75c	546.41$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.3	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Cheeki_Breeki	33c	530.49$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.56	137	31.4%43 W · 94 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked South America Rejects	70c	454.47$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.59	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Cheeki_Breeki	29c	390.57$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.94	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cheeki_Breeki	28c	374.28$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.47	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed South America Rejects	64c	335.61$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.18	464	51.5%239 W · 225 L	-12.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Cheeki_Breeki	31c	313.38$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.83	552	51.6%285 W · 267 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed South America Rejects	65c	310$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.5	249	55.4%138 W · 111 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked South America Rejects	64c	300.69$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.82	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Cheeki_Breeki	38c	286.55$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.1	361	38.2%138 W · 223 L	-20.4wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Cheeki_Breeki	21c	238.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.53	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Cheeki_Breeki	11c	231.72$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.08	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed South America Rejects	62c	227.99$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.62	294	66%194 W · 100 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Cheeki_Breeki	20c	208.43$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.73	127	40.9%52 W · 75 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a34…3883backed Cheeki_Breeki	25c	196.81$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.87	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Cheeki_Breeki	28c	193.03$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.05	305	34.4%105 W · 200 L	-14.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects	69c	172.29$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.84	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed South America Rejects	70c	172.22$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.75	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b24…8aa4backed Cheeki_Breeki	8c	166$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Cheeki_Breeki	25c	152.8$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.2	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Cheeki_Breeki	21c	150.12$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.43	156	43.6%68 W · 88 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cheeki_Breeki	29c	150.07$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.73	457	50.8%232 W · 225 L	+14.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked South America Rejects	62c	131.2$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.85	138	50%69 W · 69 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed South America Rejects	80c	123.5$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.7	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked Cheeki_Breeki	40c	110.16$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.25	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed South America Rejects	73c	105.89$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.14	253	39.1%99 W · 154 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb4…9ed0backed Cheeki_Breeki	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked South America Rejects	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	228	45.6%104 W · 124 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Cheeki_Breeki	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	540	58.9%318 W · 222 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee4…7a93backed South America Rejects	52c	98.11$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.62	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Cheeki_Breeki	25c	97.79$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.45	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Cheeki_Breeki	29c	97.13$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe516…14ffbacked Cheeki_Breeki	46c	95.28$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.55	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Cheeki_Breeki	23c	82.6$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	641	23.4%150 W · 491 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed South America Rejects	79c	79.98$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	227	52.9%120 W · 107 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects	70c	79.51$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.47	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Cheeki_Breeki	25c	73$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	350	32.3%113 W · 237 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361a…783fbacked Cheeki_Breeki	17c	70$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5495…fc8cbacked South America Rejects	67c	69.23$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.04	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-31%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed South America Rejects	80c	69.16$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.83	150	64.7%97 W · 53 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked South America Rejects	73c	66.71$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.01	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Cheeki_Breeki	30c	63.21$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.16	178	53.4%95 W · 83 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed South America Rejects	77c	62.09$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.34	105	71.4%75 W · 30 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbecc…29dbbacked South America Rejects	68c	61.16$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.57	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-51%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Cheeki_Breeki	31c	61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.91	155	36.1%56 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Cheeki_Breeki	31c	61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.91	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed South America Rejects	67c	59.09$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.45	52	67.3%35 W · 17 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South America Rejects	70c	55.49$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.57	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cheeki_Breeki	19c	55.17$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked South America Rejects	73c	53.91$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.55	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Cheeki_Breeki	28c	51.63$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	245	18.8%46 W · 199 L	-31.2wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-46%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked South America Rejects	70c	49.1$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.73	444	74.8%332 W · 112 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf462…2cd4backed South America Rejects	52c	47.49$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.79	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	44cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed South America Rejects	68c	44.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.19	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed South America Rejects	73c	43.69$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.8	88	50%44 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed South America Rejects	49c	42$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.42	360	44.2%159 W · 201 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Cheeki_Breeki	48c	40.1$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	410	37.3%153 W · 257 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked South America Rejects	79c	40.01$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.21	1,154	47.7%550 W · 604 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked South America Rejects	74c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.4	582	50.5%294 W · 288 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc0…688cbacked South America Rejects	78c	31.63$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked South America Rejects	77c	27.37$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.37	149	62.4%93 W · 56 L	+21.8wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xac16…cca2backed South America Rejects	73c	26.95$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.28	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x708b…7d2abacked South America Rejects	71c	25.92$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.52	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed South America Rejects	76c	22.75$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.48	273	57.1%156 W · 117 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c64…929abacked South America Rejects	70c	19.64$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.89	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+5.7wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04ed…172abacked South America Rejects	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	322	52.5%169 W · 153 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bthis page
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 1 WinnerCheeki_Breeki won
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event